Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.063813 0.072106 0.080584 0.089868 0.099720 0.109835 0.120976
2025-08-17 0.050335 0.062484 0.075512 0.090382 0.106757 0.124120 0.143812
2025-08-24 0.039410 0.053435 0.069137 0.087697 0.108746 0.131623 0.158126
2025-08-31 0.031506 0.046549 0.064086 0.085466 0.110326 0.137890 0.170357
2025-09-07 0.026937 0.042946 0.062267 0.086425 0.115066 0.147305 0.185750
2025-09-14 0.023608 0.040430 0.061383 0.088162 0.120438 0.157223 0.201527
2025-09-21 0.021655 0.039430 0.062160 0.091726 0.127821 0.169351 0.219745
2025-09-28 0.018995 0.037160 0.061098 0.092842 0.132133 0.177794 0.233633
2025-10-05 0.019094 0.038718 0.064960 0.100083 0.143834 0.194913 0.257598
2025-10-12 0.016218 0.035675 0.062555 0.099248 0.145577 0.200186 0.267693
2025-10-19 0.014563 0.034267 0.062206 0.100935 0.150335 0.208980 0.281865
2025-10-26 0.012642 0.032222 0.060835 0.101178 0.153212 0.215460 0.293263
2025-11-02 0.011136 0.030790 0.060378 0.102775 0.158029 0.224594 0.308224
2025-11-09 0.009473 0.028892 0.059149 0.103298 0.161490 0.232126 0.321360
2025-11-16 0.007225 0.025545 0.055539 0.100399 0.160424 0.234009 0.327633
2025-11-23 0.005443 0.022689 0.052423 0.097992 0.159850 0.236388 0.334413
2025-11-30 0.004568 0.021519 0.051822 0.099026 0.163706 0.244212 0.347752
2025-12-07 0.003944 0.020778 0.051844 0.100900 0.168641 0.253367 0.362703
2025-12-14 0.003693 0.020887 0.053236 0.104740 0.176183 0.265793 0.381659
2025-12-21 0.003085 0.019957 0.052838 0.105942 0.180187 0.273767 0.395175
2025-12-28 0.003434 0.021651 0.056918 0.113726 0.193036 0.292909 0.422403
2026-01-04 0.002619 0.019952 0.055123 0.112829 0.194202 0.297300 0.431537
2026-01-11 0.002230 0.019358 0.055182 0.114640 0.198995 0.306266 0.446287